Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.150681 0.172213 0.196657 0.226655 0.262737 0.305073 0.358997
2025-04-20 0.117192 0.144997 0.180020 0.228200 0.294095 0.383122 0.516220
2025-04-27 0.098285 0.128856 0.170467 0.233035 0.328068 0.473039 0.724120
2025-05-04 0.085500 0.117229 0.163128 0.237323 0.360458 0.569607 0.985469
2025-05-11 0.076605 0.109003 0.158332 0.243213 0.395689 0.681914 1.333865
2025-05-18 0.069085 0.101352 0.152623 0.245682 0.424894 0.793461 1.750409
2025-05-25 0.062846 0.094638 0.147051 0.246766 0.451274 0.909418 2.263098
2025-06-01 0.057320 0.088255 0.140893 0.245237 0.471637 1.020508 2.859392
2025-06-08 0.052345 0.082133 0.134215 0.241225 0.485348 1.121646 3.527793
2025-06-15 0.049515 0.079329 0.133052 0.247986 0.525779 1.314905 4.788341
2025-06-22 0.045660 0.074265 0.126951 0.243088 0.536275 1.426684 5.865837
2025-06-29 0.043118 0.071296 0.124468 0.245645 0.567061 1.622436 7.758300
2025-07-06 0.040177 0.067353 0.119683 0.242364 0.581975 1.777264 9.811131
2025-07-13 0.038218 0.065078 0.118014 0.246249 0.619589 2.049269 13.647474
2025-07-20 0.036627 0.063348 0.117250 0.252245 0.666348 2.402290 19.920774
2025-07-27 0.035091 0.061571 0.116149 0.257189 0.712077 2.798329 29.476286
2025-08-03 0.033808 0.060170 0.115691 0.263778 0.766725 3.305915 46.228374
2025-08-10 0.032362 0.058303 0.113955 0.266534 0.809016 3.800279 71.030166
2025-08-17 0.030938 0.056355 0.111809 0.267741 0.846403 4.321262 110.526032
2025-08-24 0.029457 0.054164 0.108855 0.266047 0.871788 4.802131 168.961525
2025-08-31 0.027940 0.051780 0.105196 0.261598 0.884096 5.208798 250.921325
2025-09-07 0.027198 0.051011 0.105360 0.269098 0.954555 6.272870 545.825573
2025-09-14 0.025834 0.048777 0.101683 0.263664 0.961699 6.744551 888.141746